How did you come to your conclusion(s)? Which tools and methods did you employ?

The scenarios and recommendation for the Panagyurishte case-study area are defined on the basis of expert opinions of the foresters involved in different management levels, as well as the present legal framework and stakeholder preferences.

The dynamic forest ecosystem model PICUS v1.5 has been employed for the scenario simulations.  An additional new module for simulation the stumps sprouting after felling has been developed. A set of indicators representing the demanded ecosystem services (an examples are given in Tables 1 and 3) was fed by model output and subsequently used to analyse the interrelationships of initial forest state, management concepts including assumptions about management intensity and climate conditions.